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JCO Precision Oncology

American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO)

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match JCO Precision Oncology's content profile, based on 14 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Formalising Limits of Circulating Tumour DNA Detection: A Signal Detection Framework for Clinical Threshold Specification

Walinjkar, A.

2026-06-10 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355204 medRxiv
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Background: Circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) liquid biopsy is now established across oncology for early cancer detection, minimal residual disease surveillance, and treatment monitoring. Detection thresholds for all current ctDNA assays are derived empirically through receiver operating characteristic analysis on training cohorts - a statistically valid but theoretically uninformed approach that does not specify the minimum detectable tumour fraction given assay technical characteristics, nor identify when increasing sequencing depth ceases to provide additional clinical information. Methods: We model ctDNA detection as a binary hypothesis testing problem with Binomial-distributed mutant allele counts against a sequencing error noise floor. The Neyman-Pearson lemma is applied to derive the uniformly most powerful detector and the minimum detectable tumour fraction in closed form. The sequencing assay is modelled as a binary symmetric channel and Shannon channel capacity is calculated. Empirical validation uses n=61 data points extracted from five published peer-reviewed analytical validation studies across five independent institutions in the US and EU (2018 - 2025): Yu et al. 2022, Stetson et al. 2018, Frydendahl et al. 2023, Northcott et al. 2024, and Cheng et al. 2025. Results: The minimum detectable tumour fraction is derived in closed form as f_min approximately equal to (z_alpha + z_beta) multiplied by the square root of (epsilon divided by N), where N is sequencing depth, epsilon is the platform error rate, and z_alpha, z_beta are standard normal quantiles at the specified false positive and false negative rates. Shannon channel capacity is C = 1 minus H(epsilon) bits per read, where H(epsilon) is binary entropy. Empirical validation yields 84.3% agreement for single-locus assays. Discordance for multi-locus tumour-informed assays (NeXT Personal, duplex WGS) is consistent with the single-locus model scope and identifies the principal theoretical extension required. Conclusions: This framework provides the first formal Neyman-Pearson optimality proof for ctDNA detection, a closed-form detection limit, and a platform-independent efficiency metric for NHS and regulatory standardisation. Keywords: circulating tumour DNA; liquid biopsy; Neyman-Pearson detection; Shannon channel capacity; sequencing depth; limit of detection; minimal residual disease; signal detection theory

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Integrated T-Cell Receptor Repertoire and Tumor Immunogenicity Profiling Reveals Distinct Immunogenomic States in Endometrial Cancer

Aversa, I.; Abatino, A.; Isabello, A.; Gallo, R.; Isdraele, L.; Straface, T.; Zullo, F. M.; Guida, M.; Saccone, G.; Fiume, G.; Venturella, R.; Viglietto, G.; Cuda, G.; Costanzo, F.; Zullo, F.; Palmieri, C.

2026-06-10 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355191 medRxiv
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Background Endometrial cancer exhibits marked molecular and immune heterogeneity that is only partially explained by established genomic biomarkers. We investigated whether T cell receptor (TCR) repertoire architecture captures complementary dimensions of antitumor immunity beyond conventional molecular classification. Methods Paired tumor and peripheral blood samples from eight patients with molecularly characterized endometrial cancer underwent TCR repertoire profiling. Diversity, clonality, and tumor blood overlap metrics were integrated with genomic variables, including tumor mutational burden (TMB), genomic instability metric (GIM), and POLE status. Principal component analysis and correlation analyses were used to identify major dimensions of repertoire organization. Composite Immune Focusing and Immune Sharing Scores were derived to summarize dominant repertoire patterns. Results The first two principal components explained 70.1% of total repertoire variance and revealed substantial heterogeneity independent of histological subtype. TMB was strongly associated with reduced repertoire diversity and increased clonal dominance, resulting in a robust association with the Immune Focusing Score ({rho} = 0.88, p = 0.004). POLE mutated tumors occupied the extreme end of this focusing continuum. In contrast, genomic instability was associated with increased tumor blood repertoire overlap and preserved diversity, reflected by a strong correlation between GIM and the Immune Sharing Score ({rho} = 0.76, p = 0.027). The two immune scores showed minimal correlation with each other ({rho} = -0.24, p = 0.57), indicating that they capture largely independent aspects of immune organization. Conclusion Integrative analysis of TCR repertoire architecture and tumor genomics identifies distinct immunogenomic states in endometrial cancer that are not fully captured by conventional molecular classification. If validated in larger cohorts, immune focusing and immune sharing metrics may provide complementary biomarkers for patient stratification and immunotherapy-oriented precision oncology

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Documented clinical genetic testing among carriers of hereditary breast and ovarian cancer variants: Ancestry and socioeconomic disparities in the All of Us research program

Yerukala Sathipati, S.; Scott, H.

2026-06-10 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.09.26355262 medRxiv
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Importance: Hereditary breast and ovarian cancer (HBOC) variant carriers benefit from risk-reducing interventions, but only if identified. The extent to which carriers are clinically recognized, and whether recognition is equitable across diverse populations, is poorly characterized in a single large U.S. cohort. Objective: To estimate P/LP HBOC carrier prevalence across genetic ancestry groups, quantify documented clinical genetic testing among carriers, and evaluate ancestry and socioeconomic disparities in testing. Design, Setting, and Participants: Cross-sectional analysis of the All of Us Research Program Controlled Tier (Curated Data Repository v8/C2024Q3R9), comprising participants with short-read whole genome sequencing and linked electronic health record (EHR) and survey data. Carriers were ascertained from research genomic data independent of clinical testing. Exposures: Genetically inferred ancestry (African [AFR], Admixed American [AMR], East Asian [EAS], European [EUR], Middle Eastern [MID], South Asian [SAS]); self-reported household income and educational attainment. Main Outcomes and Measures: (1) Carrier prevalence with Wilson 95% CIs; (2) documented clinical genetic testing (procedure codes) among carriers; (3) adjusted odds of documented testing among women, by ancestry, before and after socioeconomic adjustment, using multivariable logistic regression. Results: Among 414,830 participants, P/LP HBOC carrier prevalence was 1.42% (95% CI, 1.38-1.45) overall and similar across ancestry groups (AFR 1.24%, AMR 1.32%, EAS 1.19%, EUR 1.52%, MID 1.68%, SAS 1.33%; overlapping CIs). Among 250,071 women in the testing analysis, documented clinical genetic testing was rare: only 74 of 5,878 carriers overall (1.3%) and 59 of 3,572 European-ancestry carriers (1.7%) had a documented test, with counts below reportable thresholds in all other ancestry groups. African-ancestry women had lower adjusted odds of documented testing than European-ancestry women (Model 1 adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.32; 95% CI, 0.27-0.39), an association that attenuated but persisted after adjustment for income and education (Model 2 aOR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.40-0.58; P < 0.001); Admixed American women also had reduced adjusted odds (aOR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.61-0.84). Lower income and lower education were independently and dose-dependently associated with lower testing odds (income <$25,000 aOR, 0.46; high-school education aOR, 0.54). Conclusions and Relevance: High-risk HBOC variant carriers are present across all ancestry groups at similar frequencies, yet documented clinical genetic testing was disparate in the different ancestry groups. African-ancestry women experience a testing gap that is not fully explained by socioeconomic position, implicating structural barriers in access and referral. Population-level strategies that decouple carrier identification from current referral pathways may be required to close this gap.

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Allostatic Load in Endometrial Cancer Disparities

Bey, G. S.; Bowen, M. B.; Wu, S.; Boykin, M.; Bernard, L.; Zhang, Q.; Melendez, B.; Celestino, J.; Batsis, J. A.; Sun, C.; Lin, F.-C.; Yates, M. S.

2026-06-11 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355062 medRxiv
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Background: Endometrial cancer incidence and mortality are increasing, particularly among Black women and for aggressive subtypes. Allostatic load (AL), a composite measure of physiologic dysregulation across metabolic, cardiovascular, and immune systems, varies by racial category and tumor subtype in other cancers. Endometrial cancer is strongly associated with obesity, and it is unknown whether AL scores maintain sufficient heterogeneity to evaluate differences across subgroups or with clinical outcomes. Objective: To describe the performance of AL scoring in endometrial cancer patients and examine associations with tumor characteristics (grade/histology) and survival outcomes. Methods: We evaluated AL among 398 participants newly diagnosed with endometrial cancer. AL score was calculated by assigning 1 point for each ''high-risk'' value (by clinical reference range or distribution-based) for 15 biologic variables for vital signs, anthropometrics, blood-based biomarkers, and medical comorbidities. Results: Distribution-based thresholds for variables were used to preserve heterogeneity in this obesity-dominant context. Overall, 68.7% of Black women had high AL compared to White (56.7%), Hispanic (56.7%), and other race (32.3%) women. Decision tree analyses revealed grade-dependent associations between AL and survival. For women with low-grade tumors, higher AL was associated with poorer overall survival. For high-grade tumors, intermediate AL ([&ge;]4, <8) were associated with shortest overall survival. Black women with low-grade disease experienced shorter progression-free survival regardless of AL. Conclusions: AL scoring maintains heterogeneity despite high obesity prevalence in endometrial cancer. Varying relationships between AL and survival by tumor grade and ethnoracial group suggest cumulative physiologic burden and social/structural factors may jointly shape endometrial cancer disparities.

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A liquid biopsy-centered, pan-cancer, open next generation sequencing panel to support clinical decision-making (LION panel)

Feierabend, S.; Künstner, A.; Forster, M.; Helbing, T.; Gebauer, N.; Gemoll, T.; Axt, F.; Nimmagadda, S. C.; Ranganathan, L.; Schwandt, J.; Heber, M.; Szymczak, S.; Hohensee, I.; Fliedner, S. M. J.; Scherer, F.; Oberländer, M.; Derer-Petersen, S.; Busch, H.; von Bubnoff, N.; Dazert, E.

2026-06-08 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26354976 medRxiv
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Cancer treatment has shifted toward personalized therapy based on molecular profiling, particularly in advanced disease. Existing circulating tumor DNA panels are often broad, generating many non-actionable variants and incurring costs that limit routine use in molecular tumor boards. We developed and validated a manufacturer-independent, 109-gene liquid biopsy-centered pan-cancer open next generation sequencing panel (LION panel), combined with an in-house bioinformatic pipeline to support clinical decision-making. A total of 87 samples were analyzed, including 17 reference samples, 21 healthy blood donor controls, and 49 patient samples including nine tumor entities. The LION panel achieved 92% sensitivity and 99% specificity in reference samples, with high concordance to digital droplet PCR (r = 0.99). It detected variant allele frequencies as low as 0.05% (tumor-informed) and 0.5% (tumor-uninformed). Clinical concordance reached 82% with blood-based digital droplet PCR and 75% with whole exome tissue sequencing. In representative cases, variant dynamics correlated with disease progression and revealed additional targetable variants. Overall, the LION panel supports clinical decision-making by enabling identification of targetable variants, disease monitoring, and detection of treatment resistance, particularly when tumor tissue is unavailable.

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Prevalence and Clinical Significance of Adult-Onset Cancer Predisposition Variants in Pediatric Oncology

Maciaszek, J. L.; Pastor Loyola, V.; Cain, T.; Cardenas, M.; Blackburn, P. R.; Wilkinson, M. R.; Koo, S. C.; Wu, C.-H.; Li, C.; Wang, L.; Nichols, K. E.; Klco, J. M.; Eldomery, M. K.

2026-06-08 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.06.07.26354365 medRxiv
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Purpose: Pathogenic or likely pathogenic (P/LP) variants are increasingly identified in genes more commonly associated with adult-onset cancer predisposition, but their prevalence and relevance to children who present with cancer remain unclear. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 1,280 consecutive pediatric patients with cancer who underwent clinical germline sequencing, using a virtual panel, from 2021 to 2024. Genes with P/LP variants were categorized as aoCPG or pediatric-onset cancer predisposition genes (poCPG) according to cancer risk before age 18 years and pediatric surveillance recommendations. Variant relevance was adjudicated using tumor diagnosis/histopathology, immunohistochemistry, and tumor molecular features and classified as primary, secondary, or indeterminate. Results: Among 1,280 patients, 197 (15.4%) harbored 211 P/LP variants across 54 genes. Sixty-six variants (31.3%) occurred in aoCPG, 87 (41.2%) in poCPG, and 58 (27.5%) were heterozygous variants in autosomal recessive genes. Among adult-onset variants, 7 (10.6%) were primary, 54 (81.8%) secondary, and 5 (7.6%) indeterminate. Among pediatric-onset variants, 77 (88.5%) were primary and 10 (11.5%) secondary. Six patients (3 adult-onset variants; 3 pediatric-onset variants) received targeted therapy informed by germline/somatic sequencing results. Conclusion: In pediatric oncology, most variants in aoCPG are secondary rather than tumor-related findings. Tumor-informed interpretation, beyond variant classification, may improve reporting, counseling, and therapeutic decision-making

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Mathematical analysis of the overall survival after chemoradiotherapy of limited-stage small cell lung cancer and the effect of dose/fractionation

Bunuel-Muriscot, A.; Gonzalez-Crespo, I.; Otero-Casal, P.; Gomez-Caamano, A.; Pardo-Montero, J.

2026-06-12 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.11.26355440 medRxiv
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The purpose of this work is to analyze the 2-year overall survival (OS2y) of limited-stage small cell lung cancer (LS-SCLC) treated with chemoradiotherapy (CRT), aiming at characterizing the response of LS-SCLC, and in particular the /{beta} value and proliferation parameters. Through a systematic analysis of the literature, we collated a dataset containing 57 entries (3363 patients) of response of LS-SCLC treated with CRT. Radiotherapy schedules ranged from hyper- to hypofractionation. Four radiobiological models to describe the OS2y were investigated, with progressive levels of complexity including the effect of radiotherapy, chemotherapy, treatment year and toxicity. The Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) was used to compare models, and the profile likelihood methodology to compute confidence intervals. Model 4, which includes the effect of radiotherapy, chemotherapy, treatment year and dose-dependent toxicity, provided the best fits of the experimental data (lowest AIC value). While being the best model, model 4 still fails to provide a good prediction of the OS2y, in particular failing to predict the survival of the schedules achieving the lower/higher survivals. The radiobiological analysis of the dose-response of LS-SCLC to CRT does not allow to narrowly constrain the value of response parameters. We attribute this limitation to the large heterogeneity of this disease. Nonetheless, our analysis shows a large /{beta} value (>9 Gy, 95% CI), which implies a low fractionation effect in the radiotherapy of LS-SCLC. and an accelerated proliferation of tumor cells, {lambda}' > 1.6 Gy/day (95% CI), after a kick-off time of ~4-5 weeks, which supports the use of accelerated protocols to avoid the effect of tumor proliferation on the clinical outcome.

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Prediction of immunotherapy response using live tumor fragments from routine clinical biopsies

Braun, D.; Dana, N.; Hernan, H. R.; Sahni, S.; Scribano, C.; Johnson, C.; Vedder, L.; von Euw, E.; Zweng, J.; Wargowski, E.; Sunil, A.; Sharma, D.; Routh, J.; Rexroad, K.; McDonnell, P.; Jergens, V.; Costa, C.; Zuniga, R.; Toia, G. V.; Patel, P. M.; Martin, R. C. G.; Majeed, U.; Mukhopadhyay, D.; Lou, Y.; Kokabi, N.; Jakub, J. W.; Hays, D.; Godwin, A. K.; Giffi, V.; Gelbard, A.; Friedl, A.; Duimstra, E. K.; Dronca, R. S.; Chen, R.; Chalfin, H.; Broome, B.; Babiker, H. M.; Chandra, T.; Caenepeel, S.; Hrycyniak, L. C. F.; Sood, C.; Ramos, H.; Patel, P.; Advani, P.; Gierman, H. J.; Taube, J.

2026-06-10 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26354635 medRxiv
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Functional ex vivo assays using live tumor tissues have demonstrated strong predictive accuracy for response to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) but are not scalable, requiring manual processing of large resections collected at academic centers. Here, an ex vivo live tumor fragment (LTF) platform was developed using standard-of-care biopsies from 228 patients with suspected malignancy collected across prospective, multicenter observational trials and biobanks. Hierarchical clustering of ICI-mediated changes in cytokine production identified two groups: responders and nonresponders. A binary classifier (elive index) using 8 cytokines achieved an AUC of 0.99 for cluster prediction. elive index correctly predicted clinical benefit in 93% (26/28) of patients (P = 3.2x10-5) and accurately identified 83% (10/12) of objective responders. Critically, elive responders were identified among biomarker-negative patients, highlighting the platform as a scalable approach that complements existing companion diagnostics and expands the population of patients identified to benefit from ICI therapy.

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Metastatic Patterns and Treatment Characteristics of Triple-Negative Breast Cancer in Nigeria: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Sowunmi, A.; Agbakwuru, C.; Aje, E.; Kehinde, O.; Andero, T.; Eze, C. G.; Oshikanlu, B.

2026-06-12 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.10.26355358 medRxiv
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Background: Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) is an aggressive breast cancer subtype characterized by the absence of estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor, and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 expression. It is associated with limited targeted treatment options, early relapse, and a high propensity for visceral metastasis. Data describing metastatic patterns and treatment characteristics of TNBC in Nigeria remain limited. Methods: This retrospective descriptive cohort study included 869 patients with TNBC managed at the Medserve-LUTH Cancer Center, Lagos University Teaching Hospital, Nigeria between June 2019 and June 2024. Demographic, clinicopathologic, metastatic, and treatment-related data were extracted from electronic medical records. Descriptive statistics were used to summarize patient characteristics, metastatic patterns, and treatment profiles. Associations between metastatic disease and selected clinicopathologic and treatment variables were explored using Pearsons chi-square test. Complete-case analysis was applied throughout. Results: The mean age at presentation was 52.09 {+/-} 12.26 years. Most patients were married (79.1%), postmenopausal (64.3%), and of Yoruba ethnicity (56.8%). Advanced disease predominated, with Stage III and Stage IV disease accounting for 42.9% and 35.6% of cases, respectively. Invasive ductal carcinoma was the most common histologic subtype (77.0%), while Grade II tumours constituted 51.3% of graded cases. Surgery was performed in 73.1% of patients, predominantly mastectomy (70.9% of surgical procedures). Chemotherapy was administered to 83.2% of patients, most commonly anthracycline-based regimens (41.8%), while radiotherapy was delivered to 63.5% of patients, with hypofractionated schedules of 42-43 Gy in 15-16 fractions accounting for 47.2% of radiotherapy courses. Metastatic disease was documented in 32.9% of evaluable patients. Lung metastasis was the most frequent site (62.5%), followed by bone (46.3%), regional lymph node invasion (38.5%), liver (23.0%), and brain (22.6%). Tumour grade and histologic subtype were not significantly associated with metastatic disease, whereas radiotherapy exposure demonstrated a significant association with metastatic status ({chi}{superscript 2} = 10.35, p = 0.001). Conclusion: TNBC in this Nigerian cohort was characterized by advanced-stage presentation, invasive ductal predominance, extensive use of multimodality treatment, and substantial visceral metastatic burden. Lung metastasis was the most common metastatic site. These findings provide contemporary real-world data on TNBC in Nigeria and highlight the continuing need for earlier diagnosis, timely referral, and sustained investment in comprehensive cancer care services.

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Lung cancer pathway inequalities for adults with severe mental health conditions: A mixed-methods analysis of barriers to screening and care pathways in South East London

Tredget, G.; Milenova, M.; Parkash, R.; McGrath, R.; Edwards, M. J.; Gee, S.; Pigg, W.; Karwacki, D.; Costa, C.; Shafique, S.; Adams, M.; Waghorn, J.; I'Anson, D.; Ronaldson, A.; Haire, K.; Githuku, C.; Beveridge, E.; Williams, J.

2026-06-09 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355143 medRxiv
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Background: Adults with severe mental health conditions (often referred to as severe mental illness, SMI) experience 15 to 20 year mortality gap relative to the general population, with lung cancer a significant contributor. National cancer policy targets earlier diagnosis but does not explicitly address how pathways function for this group. Aims: This study aimed to describe lung cancer risk, prevalence, screening eligibility, referral activity and diagnostic pathway performance for adults with SMI in South East London (SEL), and to examine where along the pathway inequalities arise. Methods: Co-designed with experts with lived experience and voluntary sector, this exploratory mixed-methods service evaluation combined quantitative analysis of routinely collected data from the Quality Outcomes Framework (QOF), SMI Register and Cancer Waiting Times Record (April 2023-March 2024) with semi-structured qualitative interviews (n=11 clinical staff) and focus groups (n=6 adults with lived experience of SMI). Quantitative and qualitative data were analysed using descriptive statistics and framework-based thematic analysis respectively, and findings were integrated using a joint display approach, organised by the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (CFIR). Results: Lung cancer prevalence was approximately double among adults with SMI (0.17% vs 0.09% in the general population). Despite Urgent Suspected Cancer (USC) referral rates being more than twice as high in the SMI population (63 vs 28 per 100,000), fewer cancers were detected via planned general practice (GP) routes (11% vs 20%), the 28-day Faster Diagnosis Standard was not met for any SMI patient diagnosed with lung cancer during the study period; overall FDS performance was 76% in the SMI population compared with 84% in the general population; and appointment non-attendance was more than double that in the general population (6% vs 3%). Qualitative findings identified individual, service and system-level mechanisms, including stigma, diagnostic overshadowing, fragmented coordination, and rigid pathway protocols, that compound disadvantage across lung cancer pathway stages. Conclusions: Inequality in lung cancer outcomes for adults with SMI accumulates across the pathway rather than arising at a single point of failure. Addressing this requires proportionate adaptations within existing cancer pathways, alongside routine reporting of cancer outcomes stratified by SMI population. Keywords: severe mental health conditions, lung cancer, health inequalities, cancer screening, diagnostic pathway, mixed methods

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Minimally Invasive Aortic Root Surgery Without Sternotomy: Clinical and Quality-of-Life Benefits of a Totally Endoscopic Approach

Hamiko, M.; Salamate, S.; Bayram, A.; Piekarski, F.; Rogaczewski, J.; Eghbalzadeh, K.; Silaschi, M.; Kruse, J.; El-Sayed Ahmad, A.; Bakhtiary, F.

2026-06-08 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.06.06.26354391 medRxiv
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Background Totally endoscopic aortic root (AR) surgery via right anterior minithoracotomy (RAMT) may reduce surgical trauma and accelerate recovery compared with full sternotomy (FS). However, the approach is technically demanding due to limited access and anatomical complexity. This study compares early clinical outcomes and quality of life (QoL) after RAMT versus FS to evaluate the feasibility and safety of the totally endoscopic approach. Methods This single-center, retrospective study included 149 patients underwent AR surgery via RAMT (n=74) or FS (n=75) between January 2021 and March 2026. Patients with aortic dissection, infective endocarditis, redo surgery, concomitant procedures, or arch replacement were excluded. Operative outcomes, postoperative recovery, 30-day and 1-year mortality were analyzed. QoL was assessed using the Short Form-8 (SF-8) questionnaire. Results The median age was 60.0 years, and 79.9% of patients were male. Bentall procedure was performed in 84.6% of patients, 15.4% underwent a David procedure. Compared with FS-AR, RAMT-AR was associated with shorter median operative time (147.0 vs. 178.0 min; p<0.001), lower median chest drainage volume (650.0 vs. 850.0 mL; p<0.001), and shorter median ICU stay (24.0 vs. 25.0 h; p=0.008) and hospital stay (6.0 vs. 8.0 days; p=0.028). Overall, 30-day and 1-year mortality was 0.7%. SF-8 analysis demonstrated significantly higher physical and mental component scores in RAMT-AR patients. Conclusion In specialized centers, totally endoscopic AR surgery via RAMT is a safe and feasible minimally invasive approach associated with favorable early outcomes and a potential benefit in postoperative physical and mental QoL by reducing surgical trauma.

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Hanging on through Omicron, then what? A pre-exit baseline of the U.S. emergency nursing workforce, 2018 to 2022, with implications for the 2026 NSSRN cycle

Squire, K.

2026-06-08 nursing 10.64898/2026.06.07.26355097 medRxiv
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Background. The emergency department in the United States of America functions as a residual access point for healthcare and social services for populations including rural communities, the uninsured, mental health and addiction patients, and the unhoused. The workforce variable that determines unit function (experience density, the concentration of accumulated clinical judgment within a unit workforce) is not measured in hospital accounting systems. Objective. To document workforce composition changes in U.S. emergency nursing across the 2018 and 2022 cycles of the National Sample Survey of Registered Nurses (NSSRN), and to specify falsifiable predictions for the 2026 cycle. Methods. We analyzed NSSRN public-use files using a four-way ED definition extending Castner et al. (2024) and a hospital-bedside-restricted comparator. Variance estimation used jackknife replicate weights for 2018 and Successive Differences Replication for 2022. Burnout was operationalized using the Norful et al. (2023) leaving-reasons proxy across cycles, with sensitivity analysis using the 2022 direct burnout item. Results. A 15-year trajectory (2008-2022) documents progressive experience-density compression: the ED's 15+ year veteran cohort fell from 41.9% to 28.0% over the decade preceding the pandemic, a loss of nearly a third of the senior cohort and a 19.6% decline in mean experience density, before recovering modestly to 33.3% as veteran nurses remained through the pandemic acute phase, leaving the ED as the youngest hospital setting throughout. Hospital non-ED bedside nurses lost senior tenure between cycles (mean 15.65[-&gt;]14.06 years since first licensure; 15+ year share 43.5%[-&gt;]38.7%), while ED nurses retained their senior tail (mean 11.60[-&gt;]12.58). Burnout endorsement rose sharply in both populations (non-ED 27.3%[-&gt;]46.0%; ED 34.2%[-&gt;]61.2%), with the ED-vs-non-ED gap more than doubling. Controlling for tenure, ED status was not independently associated with burnout in 2018 (OR 1.15, 95% CI 0.83-1.59) but was strongly associated in 2022 (OR 1.92, 95% CI 1.44-2.55; p<.001). The direct burnout item showed a parallel pattern (OR 2.92, 95% CI 1.62-5.28). Conclusions. A pandemic-era setting-specific burnout effect emerged in emergency nursing that workforce-composition controls cannot explain. The 2022 cycle establishes a pre-exit baseline against which the 2026 NSSRN will serve as the falsifiable test of post-Omicron veteran exit. Nursing pipeline replacement lag exceeds the interval before 2026 data arrives; the consequences of inaction fall on populations dependent on ED-based residual access.

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White Matter Hyperintensity Burden Modifies the Association Between Atrial Fibrillation and Cerebral Microbleeds

Ryu, W.-S.; Sunwoo, L.; Lee, M.; Kang, K.; Kim, J. G.; Lee, S. J.; Cha, J.-K.; Park, T. H.; Lee, J.-Y.; Lee, K.; Kwon, D. H.; Lee, J.; Park, H.-K.; Cho, Y.-J.; Hong, K.-S.; Lee, M.; Oh, M. S.; Yu, K.-H.; Gwak, D.-S.; Kim, D.-E.; Kim, H.; Kim, J.-T.; Kim, J.-G.; Choi, J. C.; Kim, W.-J.; Kwon, J.-H.; Yum, K. S.; Shin, D.-I.; Hong, J.-H.; Sohn, S.-I.; Lee, S.-H.; Kim, C.; Jeong, H.-B.; Park, K.-Y.; Lee, K.-J.; Kim, C. K.; Kang, J.; Kim, J. Y.; Bae, H.-J.; Kim, B. J.

2026-06-08 neurology 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354875 medRxiv
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Background: In atrial fibrillation (AF), cerebral microbleed (CMB) burden guides anticoagulation decisions, yet AF is itself inconsistently associated with CMBs, a paradox unexplained by frameworks that treat CMBs as a unitary marker of small vessel disease. We hypothesized that the white matter hyperintensity (WMH) context in which CMBs arise modifies their vascular meaning, and that this context-dependence underlies the inconsistent AF-CMB association. Methods: From a multicenter Korean stroke registry, we analyzed 5,735 first-ever ischemic stroke patients imaged at nine centers using susceptibility-weighted MRI. WMH volume and CMB count were extracted by validated deep learning pipelines. Patients were cross-classified by age-adjusted WMH residual (median split) and CMB count (2) into four groups. The AF-CMB association was estimated by multivariable logistic regression within each WMH stratum with formal interaction testing. Spatial CMB distribution was analyzed against the Automated Anatomical Labeling atlas. Results: In the full cohort (mean age 69.5 years; 57.7% male), AF was not associated with CMBs (OR 1.04; 95% CI 0.87-1.25). Stratification yielded divergent estimates: the adjusted AF OR was 1.46 (1.11-1.93; P = 0.007) in the WMH-low stratum and 0.95 (0.73-1.22; P = 0.665) in the WMH-high stratum, with significant interaction (OR 0.56; P < 0.001). The discordant phenotype (low WMH, high CMB; 8.9%) was enriched for AF (28.0%) and showed fronto-temporal cortical predominance with deep structure sparing. AF independently reduced the proportion of deep CMBs (IRR 0.80; P = 0.040). The interaction was preserved across prespecified sensitivity analyses. Conclusions: The AF-CMB association is confined to patients with low WMH burden relative to age and is accompanied by a topographically distinct CMB distribution. Clinical assessment of small vessel disease based on WMH alone may overlook a CMB phenotype linked to AF.

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Comparative Evaluation of Mosquito Repellent Products in South Asia and North America: Efficacy, Safety, and Public Health Implications

Sahal, K.; Amin, S. M. A.; Mostafa, T.; Wang, S.; Colucci, B.; Shafoyat, M. U.; Yuan, Z. -m.; Cheng, G.

2026-06-08 toxicology 10.64898/2026.06.07.26355094 medRxiv
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Mosquito-borne diseases continue to pose significant public health challenges worldwide, particularly in densely populated regions of South Asia and parts of North America experiencing increasing vector prevalence due to climate and environmental changes. Commercial mosquito repellents are widely used as a primary preventive measure; however, their efficacy, safety, and public health impacts vary depending on formulation, active ingredients, environmental conditions, and user practices. This study presents a comparative evaluation of commonly used mosquito repellent products in South Asia and North America, including coils, vaporizers, sprays, creams, and Natural repellents. The research aims to assess repellent efficacy against major mosquito vectors, evaluate potential health and respiratory effects associated with prolonged exposure, and analyze consumer awareness and usage patterns across different regions. Laboratory-based efficacy testing and field observations were conducted to compare protection duration, repellency rate, and environmental performance under varying climatic conditions. Safety assessments included analysis of chemical composition, indoor air quality impact, and reported adverse health symptoms among users. The findings indicate significant differences in effectiveness and safety profiles among product categories and geographical regions. Synthetic repellents generally demonstrated higher repellency duration, while herbal formulations showed improved safety and environmental compatibility. The study highlights the importance of standardized evaluation protocols, regulatory oversight, and public awareness in promoting safe and effective mosquito control strategies. These findings may support policymakers, healthcare professionals, and manufacturers in improving mosquito repellent technologies and reducing the burden of mosquito-borne diseases globally.

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Neonatal Brain Network Integration Trajectories Predict Neurodevelopment in Congenital Heart

Harasymiw, L.; Kuang, A.; Xu, D.; Scheffler, A.; George, E.; Peyvandi, S.; McQuillen, P.

2026-06-08 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355074 medRxiv
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Background: Infants with critical congenital heart disease (CHD) are at high risk for abnormal brain development and later neurodevelopmental impairment. We hypothesized that the trajectory of perioperative whole-brain network development would predict neurodevelopmental outcomes in early childhood. Methods: This prospective longitudinal cohort of neonates with critical CHD (n = 97) underwent preoperative and/or postoperative brain MRI with diffusion imaging. Whole-brain network measures were derived from structural connectomes. Neurodevelopment was assessed between 1 and 4 years using the Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development. Results: White matter injury was associated with slower perioperative growth in global efficiency (p = 0.013), a measure of network integration, whereas cardiac physiology was not associated with network development. Infants with greater perioperative increases in global efficiency had higher cognitive (p = 0.001), language (p < 0.001), and motor (p = 0.008) scores. For each 1-standard deviation increase in the trajectory of global efficiency, cognitive scores increased by 8.2 points (95% CI, 3.64-12.78), independent of brain injury and socioeconomic factors. Conclusion: In infants with critical CHD, longitudinal whole-brain network development was associated with neurodevelopment across multiple domains. Early network development may represent a candidate biomarker of neurodevelopmental risk and resilience in this population.

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Acceptability and Perceptions of Artificial Intelligence in Organized Breast Cancer Screening: A Study of French Women

Jean, A.; Merceron, A.; Le Saux, A.; Mercier, E.; Benillouche, P.

2026-06-09 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.06.07.26354883 medRxiv
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This study aims to assess women's perceptions of artificial intelligence (AI) used in breast cancer screening in France by examining their knowledge of AI and the barriers to their participation in organized screening. The results of a survey conducted in June 2025 among a national sample of 2000 women (aged 40-75) reveal limited participation and persistent concerns among women. Nevertheless, despite a low awareness of specific AI applications, a large majority of the women surveyed are very favorable to the use of AI in breast cancer diagnosis, even considering it a lever to increase screening participation.

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Perceived Social Support and Self-Efficacy as Mediators Between Health Literacy and Quality of Life Among Middle-Aged and Older Adults with Hypertension: A Cross-Sectional Study in Six Central Provinces of China

Zhao, Y.; Yun, Y.; Bai, T.; Xiong, L.; Ruan, Y.; Zhao, H.; Wang, W.; Wang, F.

2026-06-08 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355051 medRxiv
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Abstract Objective: The onset of hypertension occurs at a younger age in China, and the relationship between health literacy and quality of life among middle-aged and older hypertensive patients remains unclear. This study explored whether perceived social support and self-efficacy mediate the association between health literacy and quality of life in middle-aged and older hypertensive patients. Methods: A questionnaire was administered to 1,015 middle-aged and older hypertensive adults from communities in six central provinces of China. The EQ-5D scale, Perceived Social Support (PSS) scale, Self-Efficacy Scale (SES), and Health Literacy Scale (HLS) were used to assess quality of life, social support, self-efficacy, and health literacy, respectively. Mplus 8.3 software was used to construct a structural equation model for path analysis. Results: The mean PSS, SES, HLS, EQ-5D, and EQ-VAS scores were 15.57{+/-}3.45, 10.61{+/-}2.41, 9.49{+/-}2.86, 0.88{+/-}0.18, and 71.06{+/-}17.49, respectively. Health literacy and quality of life scores significantly differed among middle-aged and older hypertensive patients, and both showed positive correlations with perceived social support and self-efficacy (both P<0.001). Perceived social support and self-efficacy exhibited a chain mediated effect on the relationship between health literacy and quality of life (EQ-5D utility index and EQ-VAS), accounting for 28.57% of the total effect of the EQ-5D utility index and 27.26% of that of the EQ-VAS. This study is the first to elucidate the mechanism by which health literacy influences quality of life in middle-aged and older hypertensive patients through the chain-mediated effect of perceived social support and self-efficacy. Conclusion : Health literacy is significantly correlated with quality of life in middle-aged and older hypertensive patients. This correlation can directly or indirectly explain the impact on quality of life through mediating pathways involving perceived social support and self-efficacy. Keywords: hypertensive patients, perceived social support, self-efficacy, health literacy, quality of life, mediating effect

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Medical discrimination and the selective erosion of institutional health trust: evidence from the Health Information National Trends Survey 6 and 7

Park, A.; Yin, L.; Wong, A.; Lee, C.; Choi, Y.

2026-06-09 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355057 medRxiv
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Medical discrimination may alter how patients relate to health information sources following adverse care encounters. We examined whether discrimination experience is associated with selective erosion of institutional health trust and with compensatory digital health engagement, using nationally representative data from the Health Information National Trends Survey (HINTS) 6 (2022; n=6,252) and HINTS 7 (2024; n=7,278). Survey-weighted modified Poisson regression estimated prevalence ratios (PRs) for binary high-trust outcomes, and survey-weighted ordinary least squares estimated coefficients for continuous outcomes; jackknife replicate weights (50 replicates) provided variance estimates. Discrimination was associated with substantially lower probability of high trust in the healthcare system (PR=0.39; 95% CI 0.30-0.52) and physicians (PR=0.85; 95% CI 0.77-0.94), with no significant association for trust in scientists, government, family, or religious organisations. The clinical-institutional pattern replicated in HINTS 6, which additionally showed reduced trust in scientists for race/ethnicity-based discrimination. Contrary to a disengagement hypothesis, discrimination-exposed adults showed higher probability of online health information seeking (PR=1.06), health app use (PR=1.11), and online provider messaging (PR=1.13); these associations persisted after adjustment for trust in physicians. Discrimination was independently associated with lower health self-efficacy (b=-0.271). Medical discrimination selectively erodes trust in clinical institutions while leaving broader epistemic trust largely intact. Despite this, discrimination-exposed patients engage more actively with digital health channels, consistent with compensatory reorientation toward non-clinical information sources. These findings describe engaged but institutionally alienated patients, with implications for restoring clinical trust and for equity-centred digital health design.

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Translation and Cross-cultural Validation of Leprosy Case Detection Delay Questionnaire Among Persons Affected by Leprosy in Southeast Nigeria

Eze, C. C.; Murphy-Okpala, N. N.; Ekeke, N.; Nwafor, C.; Egbule, D.; Njoku, M.; Ezeakile, O.; Meka, A.; Iyama, F. S.; Ogbuefi, E.; Ugwu, O.; Solomon, M.; Adesigbin, C.; Chukwu, J.

2026-06-09 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355058 medRxiv
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Introduction Reducing delays in leprosy case detection is essential for achieving global leprosy targets. Accurate measurement of these delays and their determinants relies largely on patient-reported data, as routine health records are often inadequate. The leprosy case detection delay (CDD) questionnaire, developed under the Post Exposure Prophylaxis for Leprosy (PEP4LEP) project, has been validated in Ethiopia, Mozambique, Tanzania, and Indonesia. However, it has not been adapted or validated for Nigeria or any major Nigerian indigenous language. This study aimed to culturally adapt and validate the CDD questionnaire for Igbo-speaking populations in Nigeria. Methodology/Principal Findings The CDD questionnaire underwent a standardized cross-cultural adaptation process. Content validity was assessed using item- and scale-level content validity indices, while construct validity was evaluated through hypothesis testing. Reproducibility was assessed using test-retest and inter-rater reliability; agreement using the Bland-Altman method and the Wilcoxon Signed-Rank test; reliability using Spearmans rank correlation coefficient and the Intraclass Correlation Coefficient (ICC); and internal consistency using Cronbachs alpha. Data were collected through face-to-face interviews with persons affected by leprosy at two time points separated by at least two weeks. Participants (n=100) had a mean age of 45.1 years (SD=18.7). Mean CDD was 77.2 months at baseline and 77.9 months at retest. The instrument demonstrated excellent content validity (I-CVI/S-CVI: 0.90-1.00), good internal consistency (Cronbachs =0.77), and excellent test-retest reliability (ICC=0.996, 95% CI: 0.994-0.997). Test and retest measurements were highly correlated ({rho}=0.985, p<0.001), with no evidence of systematic change over time (p=0.864). Seventy-two percent of participants reported identical CDD values across assessments. All items from the original English version were retained without modification. Conclusion/Significance The Igbo version of the CDD questionnaire demonstrated good validity and reliability and is suitable for assessing leprosy case detection delay among Igbo-speaking populations in Nigeria

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Socio-demographic Correlates of Prolonged Amenorrhea and Menopausal Transition among Nigerian Women Aged 30-49: Evidence from the 2024 Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey

Ogunsemoyin, O.; Ayinmoro, A. D.

2026-06-09 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355063 medRxiv
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Introduction Menopause is a central marker of reproductive ageing, but national evidence on menstrual cessation among Nigerian women in the late reproductive ages remains limited. This study examined the prevalence and socio-demographic correlates of prolonged amenorrhea/possible menopausal transition among Nigerian women aged 30-49 years. Methods The study used the women's individual recode file from the 2024 Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey. The analytic sample was restricted to women aged 30-49 years, excluding women who were currently pregnant, currently or postpartum amenorrheic, and those with invalid or special responses on time since last menstrual period. The final sample comprised 14,223 women. The outcome combined women whose last menstrual period occurred 12 or more months before the survey, and women reported as being in menopause. Weighted descriptive statistics, design-adjusted bivariate tests and survey-weighted binary logistic regression were used. Results The weighted prevalence of prolonged amenorrhea/possible menopausal transition was 7.6%. Prevalence rose from 1.2% among women aged 30-34 years to 23.6% among women aged 45-49 years. In the adjusted model, women aged 35-39 years (OR=1.64; p=0.030), 40-44 years (OR=6.20; p<0.001) and 45-49 years (OR=24.51; p<0.001) had higher odds than women aged 30-34 years. Primary education (OR=1.65; p=0.004), middle wealth status (OR=1.37; p=0.043) and poorest wealth status (OR=1.60; p=0.024) were associated with higher odds. Muslim affiliation (OR=0.72; p=0.024) and traditional contraceptive use (OR=0.24; p<0.001) were associated with lower odds. Conclusion Prolonged amenorrhea/possible menopausal transition among Nigerian women aged 30-49 is strongly age-patterned and socially differentiated. The findings support the need to make midlife menstrual health more visible within reproductive, family planning and primary healthcare services. Because the measure is based on survey-reported menstrual recency, it should not be interpreted as clinically confirmed natural menopause.